I know probably everyone is sceptical of the numbers i came up with, and it could be i calculated something wrong, ive never used the Gordon Growth Model before, but there are no numbers i have plucked from my head.
The FY17 value came out to be $560m and the FY18H1 value came out to be $635, so just to follow through with those numbers and see how it effect Debt/EBITDA and SP.
The SP should be higher than that because the EV/EBITDA should increase (or the discount rate should reduce) due to reduced debt concerns, its also using conservative guidance values.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 0 FY17 GGM EBITDA (underlying) SP Market Cap Debt EV EV/EBITDA Debt/EBITDA 1 2018 (worst guidance) 360.0 2.42 1,505.6 1,045.0 2,550.6 7.1 2.90 2 NZ Sale (GGMl FY17) -60.0 -560.0 3 ASC 20.0 150.0 4 2019 320.0 2.86 1,782.2 485.0 2,267.2 7.1 1.52
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 0 FY18H1 GGM EBITDA (underlying) SP Market Cap Debt EV EV/EBITDA Debt/EBITDA 1 2018 (worst guidance) 360.0 2.50 1,555.3 1,045.0 2,600.3 7.2 2.90 2 NZ Sale (GGMl FY18H1) -60.0 -635.0 3 ASC 20.0 150.0 4 2019 320.0 3.06 1,901.4 410.0 2,311.4 7.2 1.28
I know probably everyone is sceptical of the numbers i came up...
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