interest rates, page-31

  1. Osi
    6,903 Posts.
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    I agree with Eagle but we also have to consider net migration, which in turn is driven by employment prospects.

    https://www.theguardian.com/austral...rce-immigration-debate-is-about-to-get-louder

    The above link includes some very interesting facts ......... but at the end of the day ......... while net migration remains strong property may remain on the verge of unaffordability in capital cities. Just about unaffordable  monthly repayments are  defined by interest rates, purchase prices and income spreads across locations and professions.

    So ..... if interest rates go up ...... purchase prices will come down to a new point of near unaffordability.  That is what we are seeing now and it's called a correction (not a collapse).

    I've been thinking about Trump's trade wars.  What if local  employment prospects were to hypothetically taper off, starting with professional job prospects and then followed by service industry jobs??  Immigration can be fickle.  Employment is driven by demand for products so  if Australia is hit by falls in Chinese demand for Australian exports the deck of cards would then  collapse IMHO.

    Back to the Guardian article above ..... and noting that India is Australia's new  prime source of immigrants ..... perhaps we should also monitor India's economy before predicting when the crash will come.

    cheers
    Last edited by Osi: 03/04/18
 
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