LYC lynas rare earths limited

I never posted something at HC, but there´s for everything a...

  1. 8 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch.  6
    I never posted something at HC, but there´s for everything a first time...

    May i introduce myself first - I´m FXNCLN aka FaxenClown (from the german wallstreet-online forum). I´m chemical engineer and one of my favourite hobbies between 2009 and 2012 was analysis of RE-companies. In 2017 my interests in the sector and especially Lynas grew again due to the return of profitable RE-prices and boundary conditions.

    But back on topic: It´s just "more than needed for 600tpm (per month)", if you assume to produce ore with approximately 9% TREO or more.
    Making a short reverse calculation:

    450t*12 = 5400t/a NdPr (per year)
    5400t/a NdPr = (roughly) 21.600t TREO/a (100%)
    21.600t TREO @36% TREO content (shipping quality) = 60.000t/a concentrate
    60.000t/a @ 9% REO-grade ore (CLD quality) is 240.000 tpa total ore to be milled

    Scaling up to 600t/a NdPr is simply multiplying everything by 1,33 ... ending at 320.000 tpa necessary milling capacity (if shipment concentrate remains at 36% TREO and average input grade remains at 9%)

    ... and with 443ktpa milling capacity, you can even mill 6,5% TREO ore instead of the 9% TREO ore

    Summing up (my perspective):
    The upgrade to 443kpta milling capacity opens lynas´s capability to process lower graded ores. Otherwise, they will end up in a milling bottleneck, when high grade areas are harvested and lower grades remain.
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.