FBR (ASX) Caterpillar-FBR deal chance?

Originally posted by Hokey 5771 ↑

Ok great so we know CAT is either likely to go binding and or we see an extension most likey of the two in my view -I cant see CAT venture walking now in my view

So we know also plans are out ofr build one your saying we go to 50 cents or near triple the market cap on what the market knows will happen

How so on no earnings do you expect FBR to go to a 520 Million dollar company on what we know

All for enthusiasim and would love that trust me i would but I cant see that happenning

We need details we need numbers we need to be able to put together a DCF and see some binding orders

Look there are hundreds of great ideas in bio tech mining tech you name it tech

FBR have 150 staff so at least 10 mill PA is going out the door in wages then you have travel marketing and other costs

Lets assume they are burning 13 mill a year now in two years they will be down to around 10-12 million odd without another cap raising

Agree once CAT take over the production those staff numbers will likely change

I just cant see for the life of me how news that we know is likely will triple the cap

Im sure a CAT ann anyday would see us in the 20s but for how long as profit takers take profit burnt baggys up higher exit

There was a mountain of stock bought in FBR in the 24-30 range stale money now for those unfortunate enough to tumble in then

You see the angst and impatience of holders here it stands out who is holding very high ave holdings in FBR -desperation at times.

I think on first sales you will get a bigger spike than CAT going binding that is the expected outcome

Then in the unlikely event of CAT bailing we see a 60-70 per cent dump as that is the left hook not many expect

Archistruct we can presume is dead and there has been no mention of them for a very long time

It leads me to believe FBR and CAT are going it alone with a tie up with KSA on the outcome of build 1-?

I would say almost Archistruct are no longer part of the grand plan

Also there is no reason not to expect further delays we were told 11 houses by the emd of 17 thru Archistruct

Thats ok delays it happens point is it can happen again so while im confident we all make money here a lot needs to happen to triple the cap on expected news

Best case I see unless something extrodinary is ANN is 25-30 cents on CAT binding and Build 1 done

Yes sure it will be on the news and social media but always remember in markets this

Mondays news is Tuesdays fish n chips wrapper especially if its expected

Then again could be thousands like me waiting to hook in on Binding news I guess time will tell

Love enthiusiasim and this could be very big but could also be a lovely company who make money but do little SP wise like a CMP or the likes

Unless you see some very big scale in earnings rapidly in the next two years cash burn will become an issue

I dont see FBR as an eldorado from this point I think the ElDorado is there for the 2-10 cent buyers tho if they trade spikes n dips.

Expand

Mate I think we all know your trading this and looking to re enter. Nothing wrong with that But FBR does really capture peoples imagination the pure scale of the disruption HX can cause is massive. Thats what will drive the SP to 50c plus IMO.

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Caterpillar-FBR deal chance?, page-56

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