Originally posted by LuckyMojo
Comparing 2019 to 1945 .. quite a few Weather charts in 1945 around this time are showing some rain events already over NSW
so for me I am concerned as well.... though yours and others are a brutal reality ..
Slow to kick in? What other forces in play this time around?
I can only suggest in a positive historical sense that sometimes the drier it is that the flip to rainfall is greater.
Lag time Luckymojo, but it is about to come. If anything, the Solar cycle seems to be having an early minimum.
If I was coastal QLD I would be majorly worried now, there has to be a huge risk of a late March cyclone much stronger than anything we have seen in recent years. Given this enormous burst of trades that is going to bring on a weak La Nina, I think Easterly movement is going to be heightened this moth as the MJO will be going quiet in Phase 4. I haven't had time to read all of the thread, but ECLs are a certainty in the coming months.
