@refresher
There are many ways to look at an announcement, you have highlighted another approach.
Your revenue multiple approach is a top-down approach, and I usually use it as a tool to see how expensive or cheap a stock is compared to peers... rarely would anybody use this as their sole 'valuation tool'. I see earnings/revenue multiples as more like an outcome of a more detailed 'bottom-up' valuation done on a company.
DCF is probably the cornerstone of a bottom up valuation approach. As I am talking about valuing this individual contract, I find using a DCF model is the most conservative and easiest to conceptualise.
At the crux of it, if the above assumptions on margins I used are accurate, a DCF will give you the minimum value of a contract. Stack that on top of the net tangible assets of the balance sheet, and you are building a asset/earnings backed valuation of a company.
Not trying to say either is right or wrong, just want to explain how I personally would use each method ... happy to discuss and learn a thing or two.
Those wanting to trade the stock in the short term are probably more concerned with the price action ... I'm taking a longer term view, and this has significantly de-risked my investment in FLC. There is no other way to look at it, and there is only one way this is going to trend for the rest of 2018... more news of this nature to come later in 2018!
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