No one really knows what will happen so you may be right but I'd point out that your chart doesn't include the Chi-X transactions (standard Commsec doesn't show them).
On the chart below, you can see there is support at 2.4 but importantly the low you're referring to was actually 2.3 - and it was hit a number of time (light blue horizontal line with an arrow).
So it could theoretically scoot on past 2.4 and test 2.3 again. Certainly possible but not the most probable outcome IMO.
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