Hi there Averagejoe, yes, the waiting is frustrating for us all. Surely, the drillers have started by now?
In the meantime, for a little diversion, here is a post I put on the POS thread on the weekend.
This is an extract from ROSKILL to the Green Car Conference (Feb 2018)
(ROSKILL is a researcher of metals and minerals internationally)
Roskill expects sales of purely fossil-fuelled cars to start declining, even as sales of all types of vehicles continue to rise. By 2027, Roskill forecasts that EV sales (including BEVs, plug-in hybrid EVs, fuel cell EVs and low speed EVs) will account for nearly 30% of the total.
Non-plug-in hybrids, 48V mild hybrids and 12V micro hybrids are expected to account for further sales. Combining these sales projections with those for PHEVs, FCEVs, LSEVs and fully-electric vehicles, Roskill expects that close to 70% of new passenger sales will have some degree of electrification by 2027.
Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) such as the Toyota Prius have been an important market for nickel metal hydride (NiMH) batteries. However, the best current technology to store the energy required by electric motors is the lithium-ion battery, and most (although not all) types of such batteries contain nickel. Therefore, the increasing electrification of the automotive industry will represent a new demand stream for nickel.
In addition, increasing the energy density of lithium-ion batteries (and therefore increasing vehicle range) means increasing the concentration of nickel within the battery cathode, a trend that Roskill also expects to occur during the forecast period. This will give demand for nickel in the battery industry a double-boost.
Roskill expects primary nickel demand in batteries by 2027 to be above 500kt per year. Although this is still only a third of the consumption by the stainless steel sector, the increase in demand from this sector will be greater than the rise in consumption by stainless steel mills, even in terms of tonnes. Primary nickel demand in the battery sector is forecast to rise by more than 20% per year between 2017 and 2027.....” (bold highlight is my emphasis)
cheers
Mulac1
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