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Short Term Trading Week Starting: 9th Apr, page-87

  1. 1,897 Posts.
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    Bit complicated so bare with me,

    STTCOMP stats is 80% accuracy, 115% average win in 4week space.

    Actual stats are slightly different. I've recently opened a separate account to differentiate and distinguish strengths(or lack of) between my technical trades and fundamental picks.

    The issue is the technical account I've recently opened doesn't have enough trades on it to be valid. A series of losses or wins will completely skew the stats one direction, I don't get the screentime to trade much. Will likely take another couple weeks before the TA account becomes has any form of reliability.


    So far this financial year:
    The top "statistics" is for the overall account.
    Bottom "trade statistics" is for only the recent trading account.
    Quick explanation for anyone reading.

    Bought Lower/Sell Higher measures the number of times I miss the high or low by >10% within 3days.
    So essentially on average 61% of the time something falls or moves up 10% after my entry/exit in the next 3days.

    Risk is significant for overall account as I usually get set early and just wait for the company to deliver. Often getting set fundamentally in under 1cent means one or two pips you hit 20%+ risk. Just to top it off 70% of the time it does hit my risk I end up holding anyways, either cause I'm in class or just not on screens to exit. If the markets strong, sector strong, management delivering with a good register I'll just ignore a price stop and challenge the market over a longer timeframe - I prefer time/performance stops over price stops on fundamental picks.

    As for the trading account average risk is almost halved, its actually bit lower but is skewed cause of one crap trade on SRZ where I took on too much risk. I only take on trades when I can afford the time to monitor and manage positions. Win rate of 57% so far.

    In a sense the overall account and STTComp stats are similar, except instead of 4weeks I tend to hold for an average 100days (Incl. weekends/public holidays etc.)

    In the end, the reason I have these stats is to find flaws in myself and areas of improvement - as there is plenty for me to learn.
 
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